Justifying a Claim Based on a Confidence Interval for a Population Proportion

AP Statistics· difficulty 4/5

A 95% confidence interval for a mean is (12, 18). The correct interpretation is

  • A

    95% of individual data points lie in (12, 18)

  • B

    If we repeated the sampling procedure many times, ~95% of resulting intervals would contain the true mean

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  • C

    The sample mean has a 95% chance of being in (12, 18)

  • D

    There is a 95% probability that the true mean lies in (12, 18)

Explanation

Frequentist interpretation: it's the procedure that captures the parameter 95% of the time across hypothetical replications. Probability statements about a fixed parameter belong to Bayesian framework.

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