Justifying a Claim Based on a Confidence Interval for a Population Proportion

AP Statistics· difficulty 2/5

A 95% confidence interval for the proportion of adults who exercise daily is (0.32, 0.40).

0.32 0.40 95% CI

Which is the correct interpretation of the interval?

  • A

    95% of adults exercise daily between 32% and 40% of the time.

  • B

    We are 95% confident the true proportion of adults who exercise daily is between 0.32 and 0.40.

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  • C

    95% of samples will have proportions between 0.32 and 0.40.

  • D

    There is a 95% probability that the true proportion is between 0.32 and 0.40.

Explanation

Confidence intervals are interpreted as confidence in the procedure capturing the parameter, not probability statements about the fixed parameter.

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